The Future and Exchanging Value by nicholas gruen - HTML preview

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More recently, NFC technology has enabled tap-and-go

APCA’s New Payments Platform aims to address

systems to replace the need to swipe cards or plug them this deficiency. APCA is building infrastructure that

into a reader and type in a PIN, slicing a few seconds off can support multiple ‘applications’ for exchanging

the transaction. This has proved hugely convenient for value, the first of which is a traditional payment

both merchants and consumers. The rapid acceptance

process. The new platform will support real-time,

and use of contactless cards has resulted in this method low-value payments, initially between deposit-taking

becoming almost ubiquitous in the Australian payments

institutions, but eventual y between any two ‘suitably system. Visa’s statistics show that in January 2015,

accredited’ institutions (institutions that easily could contactless payments accounted for more than 60 per

include new, alternative payment providers).

cent of all face-to-face Visa transactions in Australia.30

Many pundits envisage end-to-end digitisation of

A new generation of payment solutions is also

the process of exchanging value. Credit cards will

emerging. One example is Square, a payments

be virtualised, with transactions flowing directly

and PoS provider with a solution built on

from a digital wallet hosted on your smartphone

consumer-grade computer tablets and the public

through real-time payments infrastructure into the

internet. This slashes the investment required from

waiting wallet of an individual, or the trading

merchants to accept credit card payments digitally,

account of a firm or institution.

enabling even quite small merchants to move from

cash- and paper-based processes to digital ones.

Ubiquitous digital infrastructure coupled with cheap

Indeed, Square’s early growth stemmed from the

and effective real-time payments processing solutions

craft markets, boutiques and artisan stores that

will enable anyone – individual or institution – to

couldn’t afford a traditional merchant account.

accept or issue payments wherever, and whenever,

needed. Apple’s recent development of Apple Pay

Part of the growth of digital payments is due to

may be a sign that technology, regulation and social

consumers using upgraded PoS systems in stores to pay

mores have developed to the point that the digital

with a wave or via tap-and-go. The growth is also due to wallet may finally be coming of age. Apple Pay, which

this new breed of payment solutions, bringing more

uses NFC and card information stored on an Apple

merchants into the digital payments infrastructure and the device, was developed within the constraints of the

possibility of a cashless society one step closer.

existing payments standards and infrastructure,

making it an impressive example of what is possible

While shiny, new consumer technology may be getting

within established technology and industry norms.

the lion’s share of media attention, the government is quite aware that our ageing inter-institution payments infrastructure is holding back the development of many new real-time solutions. While two individuals may be

able to exchange value instantly if they use the same

bank, peer-to-peer payments between individuals who

use different banks still take days to process and are comparatively expensive.

The Future of Exchanging Value Cryptocurrencies and the trust economy 29

Potential sources of disruption

Apple Pay’s early success in the US was not surprising Clayton Christensen coined the term ‘disruptive

given its slick design and Apple’s commercial weight.

innovation’ in his book Innovator’s Dilemma 31 for The US had poor chip-and-pin penetration and many ideas that help create a new market and value

banks saw Apple Pay as a tool to improve adoption.

network, eventually disrupting an existing market

This triggered intense competition between US banks to and value network (possibly over a few years or

be the first account registered in Apple Pay as the typical decades) and displacing an earlier technology in

user registers only one card with the service.

the process. ‘Sustaining innovations’, in contrast,

Few cardholder details are required beyond basic

do not create new markets or value networks

credit card information in an attempt to streamline the because they focus on improving existing

process for adding new cards to the system, and make

solutions to create more value, allowing

it as ‘frictionless’ as possible. Information such as

established firms to compete against each other.

phone numbers and addresses that might help banks

detect early fraud were left out. The processes for

The Wii and iPhone are both examples of disruptive

dealing with potential fraud via Apple Pay were also

innovations. The Wii disrupted the video game market

flawed, with affected card holders directed to customer by encouraging casual gaming, while the iPhone was

care rather than fraud prevention, where the customer

really a pocket-sized computer that enabled many

representative would help the caller to use their cards, road warriors to set aside their comparatively bulky

leading to more fraudulent cards approved for use.

laptops and cameras, disrupting the mobile phone,

The fraud rate for Apple Pay was estimated at 6

stand-alone camera and laptop markets in the

per cent, which is low compared with traditional

process. In contrast, hybrid cars such as the Toyota

credit card fraud in the US, but higher than

Prius are sustaining innovations; they work within the expected with Apple’s tokenisation technology.32

existing industry structures to sustain them.

We should consider Apple Pay a qualified success,

Will the new low-cost payment solutions work their

with high early adoption rates. But the drivers for

way up through the market to disrupt established

adoption appear to be tightly bound to the US

players? Could Stripe’s solution, based on consumer-

regulatory and commercial environment. The story

grade technology and focused on usability and

might not be the same in Australia or New Zealand

convenience, be a more compelling solution than the

where high chip-and-pin penetration rates mean banks

established payments networks? Or could Bitcoin (or

will not see Apple Pay as a tool to facilitate the

another cryptocurrency) completely replace the

adoption of these technologies. Australia’s regulated

current paradigm, one based on intermediaries to

interchange fees, which are roughly half the level in

manage the transaction flow, with a paradigm based

the US, mean there is less room for Apple’s estimated

on direct and low-cost peer-to-peer transactions?

15¢ on every $100 of transactions.33