After all kinds of data analysis, simulations and live testing, we’ve finally ended up with the current algorithm which produces the best baseball and hockey picks in the industry.
It’s important to note here that going through all the nuts and bolts of our algorithm is way beyond the scope of this ebook since the process takes us about 60 to 75 minutes each day. We assume that you’re currently selecting your picks yourself.
If you ever decide to try a pick provider, that’s something we do and not only are you getting the picks every day which saves you a tremendous amount of time by not having to generate them yourself, but you also get the odds reversal and money management included with the picks. You can have a peak by clicking on the link below:
The end result is that you’re getting the hottest and best teams in real time. You know exactly, at any given moment on which teams you have to place your wagers as well as the amount of those wagers.
We then translate the results of that deep analysis in such a way that you’re getting a perfect up-to-date picture of the best team to invest in every single day.
As a little side note, let us briefly tell you about an experience we’ve conducted for testing the accuracy of the sportsbooks in regards to their favorite and underdog selections.
We followed and compiled the results of all the favorites and underdogs of a major sportsbook for 500 MLB games in a part of a season. At the same time, on our side, we were using a special tool for predicting the outcome of all the same games. That tool we used, in the end, was a little more accurate than that particular major sportsbook’s statisticians.
I’m sure you want to know what our special tool was. Well, it was a good old quarter. Yes, randomly tossing a quarter for predicting the winners produced slightly better results than the highly paid statisticians are getting when selecting the favorite and underdog teams for their sportsbook. You can try it for yourself, I’m sure you’ll be getting similar results!
That being said, as you can imagine, our algorithm is not based on the favorites or underdogs and we obviously never use that at all. This really is worthless data.
The algorithm isn’t based either on who’s pitching, who’s injured, day or night games or any other Black Magic statistics concerning the fact that team A has won the last 11 games against team B when the game was played home after that home team won 4 in a row against other teams playing between .500 and .529 when away for over 9 days after a 5 game losing streak while the general manager’s daughter was pregnant for over 6 months.
Sorry for being a little sarcastic here but the point we want to make is that all of those dummy statistics which some picks sellers or resellers use are nothing but totally worthless crap. We’re talking team sports here and there’s a sequence reality and human factor to account for.
For instance, in baseball, some people like using who’s pitching for generating picks. It can be good in some instances, but even if the pitcher is the previous year’s Cy Young award recipient and only allows 1 run in a game, if his team doesn’t score a single run, he still loses that game and you lose your wager and what do you do next?
There are much more significant data than who’s pitching, who’s injured, or what the record of both teams playing against each other is.
We’ve personally played team sports at a relatively high level and we can assure you that team sports being what they are, no matter what, teams in general will always be going through very good streaks and also pretty bad ones in over the course of a professional season. And no matter what team A has done against team B in the past or if their 2 “best” hitters are injured, we can also assure you it means absolutely nothing for the coming games between these 2 teams.
You have to factor in lots of variables, the most important one being the real status of every team on game day. What you want is having a clear understanding of the real sequence that each team is in either home or away at that very moment for picking the best ones and cashing on the best of the bests.
As we’ve mentioned, we’ve been through lots of data crunching and trials and errors analyzing different statistics and market data and as a result, we’ve achieved to simplify the whole process.
There’s a beautiful citation from Leonardo da Vinci to which I’ve always been abiding to since I’ve stumbled upon it years ago which says: “Simplicity Is The Ultimate Sophistication”. This is really what we’ve been able to accomplish with Sports Betting Reinvented. We came up with the most significant and important factors which filter most of the noise among all the data.
I think my electronics background made that situation hit me more bluntly than most people out there. I remembered the time we were designing logic circuitry using all kinds of gates for having numbers of different inputs and outputs do what we needed them to do.
We were then using a tool called Karnaugh maps which is a technique for simplifying some very complex electronic circuitry designs. The first draft with all the requirements could start with over 100 binary input and 50 output possibilities. After using the Karnaugh map technique, we could end up with 15 to 20 inputs and 7 to 10 outputs achieving the exact same results than the original design. That's a lot of noise filtering and it's the same thing with sports betting.
We’ve used the same principle and applied it to sports; leaving aside what’s not important and using the really significant data which we’ve been able to simplify quite a bit.
We’ve ended up generating the best picks in the industry by coming to the conclusion that the two sports we’re using, baseball (MLB) and hockey (NHL), being team sports, we have to treat them as such. This means that each and every of the 30 teams of these two professional leagues will be having highs and lows, home and away, during any given season.
We then had to find the right way for spotting these trends, not after, but at the exact moment they were occurring. There are too many people out there who are only good at telling you the winning numbers of any lottery the day after the drawing was made. What you want is to get them before the drawing and that’s what we do with our great picks.
After tens of trials and errors using all kinds of possibilities and results, we found that the best way for generating the best picks was using the records and sequence the teams were going through an being able to have the right picture on any given day.
Easier said than done but we’ve finally made it. We’ve split their performances using their home and away records separately in such a way to give us a clear picture of the two. Before deciding to place a wager on a “hot” team when, for instance, playing at home, we’ve incorporated the overall recent sequence as well. We want to place wagers on teams that are performing very well overall, home or away.
We’re using a fine tuned number of games for those sequences and we need that particular team to be playing above a certain average on that number of home or away games as well as the overall recent sequence depending where they’re playing on game day which, combined to the other home or away record for the same number of games adds up to a total of a certain minimum "score". We’re then placing wagers only on the best team among those at that given moment.
There are always teams running good sequences and this allows us to have many teams to select from for placing wagers every day. We can then spot those going from a very good sequence to a not so good one in real time and stop placing wagers on those before they are deep into their bad sequences. The opposite is also true for the teams going from a bad sequence moving into a good one.
That’s really the best way for approaching team sports. We’re not bothering with who’s injured or if any star player is going through a tougher sequence or the team they’re playing against or who’s pitching etc.
It doesn’t matter to us, that’s a team dynamic and the main thing, since we’re only using the Moneylines, is if that particular team is hot or not. A hot team can beat any other and it’s happening all the time in the MLB and NHL and remember, we only have to be right 25% of the time for being very profitable.
As you know, we’re treating all 30 teams separately as they are 30 different entities each with its own profile. We’re targeting teams which are either performing well in both, home AND away, or for teams going through a very hot period, home OR away. It's like overlooking a total of 60 different businesses at once (30 home records and 30 away records) and only selecting one of them (the absolute best one) each day.
I think it’s starting to make a whole lot of sense to you now.