Collaborative Statistics by Barbara Illowsky, Ph.D. and Susan Dean - HTML preview

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1110

1200

740

850

Table 10.7

Exercise 10.9.15

(Solution on p. 467.)

A recent drug survey showed an increase in use of drugs and alcohol among local high school

seniors as compared to the national percent. Suppose that a survey of 100 local seniors and 100

national seniors is conducted to see if the proportion of drug and alcohol use is higher locally than

nationally. Locally, 65 seniors reported using drugs or alcohol within the past month, while 60

national seniors reported using them.

Exercise 10.9.16

A student at a four-year college claims that mean enrollment at four–year colleges is higher than

at two–year colleges in the United States. Two surveys are conducted. Of the 35 two–year colleges

surveyed, the mean enrollment was 5068 with a standard deviation of 4777. Of the 35 four-year

colleges surveyed, the mean enrollment was 5466 with a standard deviation of 8191. (Source:

Microsoft Bookshelf )

Exercise 10.9.17

(Solution on p. 467.)

A study was conducted by the U.S. Army to see if applying antiperspirant to soldiers’ feet for a

few days before a major hike would help cut down on the number of blisters soldiers had on their

feet. In the experiment, for three nights before they went on a 13-mile hike, a group of 328 West

Point cadets put an alcohol-based antiperspirant on their feet. A “control group” of 339 soldiers

put on a similar, but inactive, preparation on their feet. On the day of the hike, the temperature

reached 83 ◦ F. At the end of the hike, 21% of the soldiers who had used the antiperspirant and 48%

of the control group had developed foot blisters. Conduct a hypothesis test to see if the proportion

of soldiers using the antiperspirant was significantly lower than the control group. (Source: U.S.

Army study reported in Journal of the American Academy of Dermatologists)

Exercise 10.9.18

We are interested in whether the proportions of female suicide victims for ages 15 to 24 are the

same for the white and the black races in the United States. We randomly pick one year, 1992,

to compare the races. The number of suicides estimated in the United States in 1992 for white

females is 4930. 580 were aged 15 to 24. The estimate for black females is 330. 40 were aged 15 to

24. We will let female suicide victims be our population. (Source: the National Center for Health

Statistics, U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services)

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PROPORTIONS

Exercise 10.9.19

(Solution on p. 468.)

At Rachel’s 11th birthday party, 8 girls were timed to see how long (in seconds) they could hold

their breath in a relaxed position. After a two-minute rest, they timed themselves while jumping.

The girls thought that the mean difference between their jumping and relaxed times would be 0.

Test their hypothesis.

Relaxed time (seconds)

Jumping time (seconds)

26

21

47

40

30

28

22

21

23

25

45

43

37

35

29

32

Table 10.8

Exercise 10.9.20

Elizabeth Mjelde, an art history professor, was interested in whether the value from the Golden

Ratio formula,

larger+smaller dimension was the same in the Whitney Exhibit for works from 1900

larger dimension

– 1919 as for works from 1920 – 1942. 37 early works were sampled. They averaged 1.74 with

a standard deviation of 0.11. 65 of the later works were sampled. They averaged 1.746 with a

standard deviation of 0.1064. Do you think that there is a significant difference in the Golden

Ratio calculation? (Source: data from Whitney Exhibit on loan to San Jose Museum of Art )

Exercise 10.9.21

(Solution on p. 468.)

One of the questions in a study of marital satisfaction of dual–career couples was to rate the state-

ment, “I’m pleased with the way we divide the responsibilities for childcare.” The ratings went

from 1 (strongly agree) to 5 (strongly disagree). Below are ten of the paired responses for hus-

bands and wives. Conduct a hypothesis test to see if the mean difference in the husband’s versus

the wife’s satisfaction level is negative (meaning that, within the partnership, the husband is hap-

pier than the wife).

Wife’s score

2

2

3

3

4

2

1

1

2

4

Husband’s score

2

2

1

3

2

1

1

1

2

4

Table 10.9

Exercise 10.9.22

Ten individuals went on a low–fat diet for 12 weeks to lower their cholesterol. Evaluate the data

below. Do you think that their cholesterol levels were significantly lowered?

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Starting cholesterol level

Ending cholesterol level

140

140

220

230

110

120

240

220

200

190

180

150

190

200

360

300

280

300

260

240

Table 10.10

Exercise 10.9.23

(Solution on p. 468.)

Mean entry level salaries for college graduates with mechanical engineering degrees and elec-

trical engineering degrees are believed to be approximately the same.

(Source:

http://

www.graduatingengineer.com10 ). A recruiting office thinks that the mean mechanical engineer-

ing salary is actually lower than the mean electrical engineering salary. The recruiting office ran-

domly surveys 50 entry level mechanical engineers and 60 entry level electrical engineers. Their

mean salaries were $46,100 and $46,700, respectively. Their standard deviations were $3450 and

$4210, respectively. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if you agree that the mean entry level

mechanical engineering salary is lower than the mean entry level electrical engineering salary.

Exercise 10.9.24

A recent year was randomly picked from 1985 to the present. In that year, there were 2051 Hispanic

students at Cabrillo College out of a total of 12,328 students. At Lake Tahoe College, there were

321 Hispanic students out of a total of 2441 students. In general, do you think that the percent

of Hispanic students at the two colleges is basically the same or different? (Source: Chancellor’s

Office, California Community Colleges, November 1994 )

Exercise 10.9.25

(Solution on p. 468.)

Eight runners were convinced that the mean difference in their individual times for running one

mile versus race walking one mile was at most 2 minutes. Below are their times. Do you agree

that the mean difference is at most 2 minutes?

10http://www.graduatingengineer.com/

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PROPORTIONS

Running time (minutes)

Race walking time (minutes)

5.1

7.3

5.6

9.2

6.2

10.4

4.8

6.9

7.1

8.9

4.2

9.5

6.1

9.4

4.4

7.9

Table 10.11

Exercise 10.9.26

Marketing companies have collected data implying that teenage girls use more ring tones on their

cellular phones than teenage boys do. In one particular study of 40 randomly chosen teenage girls

and boys (20 of each) with cellular phones, the mean number of ring tones for the girls was 3.2

with a standard deviation of 1.5. The mean for the boys was 1.7 with a standard deviation of 0.8.

Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the means are approximately the same or if the girls’

mean is higher than the boys’ mean.

Exercise 10.9.27

(Solution on p. 468.)

While her husband spent 2½ hours picking out new speakers, a statistician decided to determine

whether the percent of men who enjoy shopping for electronic equipment is higher than the per-

cent of women who enjoy shopping for electronic equipment. The population was Saturday af-

ternoon shoppers. Out of 67 men, 24 said they enjoyed the activity. 8 of the 24 women surveyed

claimed to enjoy the activity. Interpret the results of the survey.

Exercise 10.9.28

We are interested in whether children’s educational computer software costs less, on average,

than children’s entertainment software. 36 educational software titles were randomly picked from

a catalog. The mean cost was $31.14 with a standard deviation of $4.69. 35 entertainment software

titles were randomly picked from the same catalog. The mean cost was $33.86 with a standard

deviation of $10.87. Decide whether children’s educational software costs less, on average, than

children’s entertainment software. (Source: Educational Resources, December catalog)

Exercise 10.9.29

(Solution on p. 468.)

Parents of teenage boys often complain that auto insurance costs more, on average, for teenage

boys than for teenage girls. A group of concerned parents examines a random sample of insurance

bills. The mean annual cost for 36 teenage boys was $679. For 23 teenage girls, it was $559. From

past years, it is known that the population standard deviation for each group is $180. Determine

whether or not you believe that the mean cost for auto insurance for teenage boys is greater than

that for teenage girls.

Exercise 10.9.30

A group of transfer bound students wondered if they will spend the same mean amount on texts

and supplies each year at their four-year university as they have at their community college. They

conducted a random survey of 54 students at their community college and 66 students at their

local four-year university. The sample means were $947 and $1011, respectively. The population

standard deviations are known to be $254 and $87, respectively. Conduct a hypothesis test to

determine if the means are statistically the same.

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Exercise 10.9.31

(Solution on p. 468.)

Joan Nguyen recently claimed that the proportion of college–age males with at least one pierced

ear is as high as the proportion of college–age females. She conducted a survey in her classes. Out

of 107 males, 20 had at least one pierced ear. Out of 92 females, 47 had at least one pierced ear. Do

you believe that the proportion of males has reached the proportion of females?

Exercise 10.9.32

Some manufacturers claim that non-hybrid sedan cars have a lower mean miles per gallon (mpg)

than hybrid ones. Suppose that consumers test 21 hybrid sedans and get a mean of 31 mpg with a

standard deviation of 7 mpg. Thirty-one non-hybrid sedans get a mean of 22 mpg with a standard

deviation of 4 mpg. Suppose that the population standard deviations are known to be 6 and 3,

respectively. Conduct a hypothesis test to the manufacturers claim.

Questions Exercise 10.9.33 – Exercise 10.9.37 refer to the Terri Vogel’s data set (see Table of Contents).

Exercise 10.9.33

(Solution on p. 468.)

Using the data from Lap 1 only, conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the mean time for com-

pleting a lap in races is the same as it is in practices.

Exercise 10.9.34

Repeat the test in Exercise 10.9.33, but use Lap 5 data this time.

Exercise 10.9.35

(Solution on p. 469.)

Repeat the test in Exercise 10.9.33, but this time combine the data from Laps 1 and 5.

Exercise 10.9.36

In 2 – 3 complete sentences, explain in detail how you might use Terri Vogel’s data to answer the

following question. “Does Terri Vogel drive faster in races than she does in practices?”

Exercise 10.9.37

(Solution on p. 469.)

Is the proportion of race laps Terri completes slower than 130 seconds less than the proportion of

practice laps she completes slower than 135 seconds?

Exercise 10.9.38

"To Breakfast or Not to Breakfast?" by Richard Ayore

In the American society, birthdays are one of those days that everyone looks forward to. People of

different ages and peer groups gather to mark the 18th, 20th, . . . birthdays. During this time, one

looks back to see what he or she had achieved for the past year, and also focuses ahead for more

to come.

If, by any chance, I am invited to one of these parties, my experience is always different. Instead

of dancing around with my friends while the music is booming, I get carried away by memories

of my family back home in Kenya. I remember the good times I had with my brothers and sister

while we did our daily routine.

Every morning, I remember we went to the shamba (garden) to weed our crops. I remember one

day arguing with my brother as to why he always remained behind just to join us an hour later. In

his defense, he said that he preferred waiting for breakfast before he came to weed. He said, “This

is why I always work more hours than you guys!”

And so, to prove his wrong or right, we decided to give it a try. One day we went to work as usual

without breakfast, and recorded the time we could work before getting tired and stopping. On

the next day, we all ate breakfast before going to work. We recorded how long we worked again

before getting tired and stopping. Of interest was our mean increase in work time. Though not

sure, my brother insisted that it is more than two hours. Using the data below, solve our problem.

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PROPORTIONS

Work hours with breakfast

Work hours without breakfast

8

6

7

5

9

5

5

4

9

7

8

7

10

7

7

5

6

6

9

5

Table 10.12

10.9.2 Try these multiple choice questions.

For questions Exercise 10.9.39 – Exercise 10.9.40, use the following information.

A new AIDS prevention drugs was tried on a group of 224 HIV positive patients. Forty-five (45) patients

developed AIDS after four years. In a control group of 224 HIV positive patients, 68 developed AIDS after

four years. We want to test whether the method of treatment reduces the proportion of patients that develop

AIDS after four years or if the proportions of the treated group and the untreated group stay the same.

Let the subscript t= treated patient and ut= untreated patient.

Exercise 10.9.39

(Solution on p. 469.)

The appropriate hypotheses are:

A. Ho : pt < put and Ha : pt ≥ put

B. Ho : pt ≤ put and Ha : pt > put

C. Ho : pt = put and Ha : pt = put

D. Ho : pt = put and Ha : pt < put

Exercise 10.9.40

(Solution on p. 469.)

If the p -value is 0.0062 what is the conclusion (use α = 0.05 )?

A. The method has no effect.

B. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the method reduces the proportion of HIV positive

patients that develop AIDS after four years.

C. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the method increases the proportion of HIV posi-

tive patients that develop AIDS after four years.

D. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the method reduces the proportion of HIV pos-

itive patients that develop AIDS after four years.

Exercise 10.9.41

(Solution on p. 469.)

Lesley E. Tan investigated the relationship between left-handedness and right-handedness and

motor competence in preschool children. Random samples of 41 left-handers and 41 right-handers

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455

were given several tests of motor skills to determine if there is evidence of a difference between the

children based on this experiment. The experiment produced the means and standard deviations

shown below. Determine the appropriate test and best distribution to use for that test.

Left-handed

Right-handed

Sample size

41

41

Sample mean

97.5

98.1

Sample standard deviation

17.5

19.2

Table 10.13

A. Two independent means, normal distribution

B. Two independent means, student’s-t distribution

C. Matched or paired samples, student’s-t distribution

D. Two population proportions, normal distribution

For questions Exercise 10.9.42 – Exercise 10.9.43, use the following information.

An experiment is conducted to show that blood pressure can be consciously reduced in people trained in a

“biofeedback exercise program.” Six (6) subjects were randomly selected and the blood pressure measure-

ments were recorded before and after the training. The difference between blood pressures was calculated

(after − before) producing the following results: xd = −10.2 sd = 8.4. Using the data, test the hypothesis

that the blood pressure has decreased after the training,

Exercise 10.9.42

(Solution on p. 469.)

The distribution for the test is

A. t5

B. t6

C. N (−10.2, 8.4)

D. N −10.2, 8.4

√6

Exercise 10.9.43

(Solution on p. 469.)

If α = 0.05, the p-value and the conclusion are

A. 0.0014; There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the blood pressure decreased after the

training

B. 0.0014; There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the blood pressure increased after the train-

ing

C. 0.0155; There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the blood pressure decreased after the

training

D. 0.0155; There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the blood pressure increased after the

training

For questions Exercise 10.9.44– Exercise 10.9.45, use the following information.

The Eastern and Western Major League Soccer conferences have a new Reserve Division that allows new

players to develop their skills. Data for a randomly picked date showed the following annual goals.

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CHAPTER 10. HYPOTHESIS TESTING: TWO MEANS, PAIRED DATA, TWO

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PROPORTIONS

Western

Eastern

Los Angeles 9

D.C. United 9

FC Dallas 3

Chicago 8

Chivas USA 4

Columbus 7

Real Salt Lake 3

New England 6

Colorado 4

MetroStars 5

San Jose 4

Kansas City 3

Table 10.14

Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the Western Reserve Division teams score, on average, fewer goals

than the Eastern Reserve Division teams. Subscripts: 1 Western Reserve Division (W); 2 Eastern Reserve

Division (E)

Exercise 10.9.44

(Solution on p. 469.)

The exact distribution for the hypothesis test is:

A. The normal distribution.

B. The student’s-t distribution.

C. The uniform distribution.

D. The exponential distribution.

Exercise 10.9.45

(Solution on p. 469.)

If the level of significance is 0.05, the conclusion is:

A. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the W Division teams score, on average, fewer

goals than the E teams.

B. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the W Division teams score, on average, more

goals than the E teams.

C. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the W teams score, on average, fewer goals than

the E teams score.

D. Unable to determine.

Questions Exercise 10.9.46 – Exercise 10.9.48 refer to the following.

Neuroinvasive West Nile virus refers to a severe disease that affects a person’s nervous system . It

is spread by the Culex species of mosquito.

In the United States in 2010 there were 629 reported

cases of neuroinvasive West Nile virus out of a total of 1021 reported cases and there were 486 neu-

roinvasive reported cases out of a total of 712 cases reported in 2011.

Is the 2011 proportion of

neuroinvasive West Nile virus cases more than the 2010 proportion of neuroinvasive West Nile virus

cases?

Using a 1% level of significance, conduct an appropriate hypothesis test.

(Source: http://

http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvbid/westnile/index.htm 11 )

• “2011” subscript: 2011 group.

• “2010” subscript: 2010 group

Exercise 10.9.46

(Solution on p. 469.)

This is:

A. a test of two proportions

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B. a test of two independent means

C. a test of a single mean

D. a test of matched pairs.

Exercise 10.9.47

(Solution on p. 469.)

An appropriate null hypothesis is:

A. p2011 ≤ p2010

B. p2011 ≥ p2010

C. µ 2011 ≤ µ 2010

D. p2011 > p2010

Exercise 10.9.48

(Solution on p. 469.)